Soils - 57
        
        
          i 
        
        
          July 2013: A family waits outside a Red Cross food distribution point in Kunene Province, northern Namibia. An estimated 780 000 people – approximately one
        
        
          third of Namibia’s entire population – are now classified as food insecure. Of these, 330 000 people are in need of urgent support according to the Government.
        
        
          © IFAD/Susan Beccio
        
        
          R
        
        
          ecurrent drought during the last
        
        
          30 years has had a disastrous
        
        
          effect on an already very difficult
        
        
          economic and social situation. The
        
        
          determining and early locating of these
        
        
          anomalies make it possible to set
        
        
          up mitigating measures. As regards
        
        
          ecology, Senegal is part of the Sahel
        
        
          zone where most of the population has
        
        
          economic dependence on crop farming
        
        
          and livestock. However, rainfall in this
        
        
          zone displays considerable variability
        
        
          in space and time and this can penalise
        
        
          crops and grazing.
        
        
          The
        
        
          
            Centre de Suivi Écologique
          
        
        
          (CSE,
        
        
          Ecological Monitoring Centre) in Dakar
        
        
          has set up a system based on the use of
        
        
          modern technologies such as remote
        
        
          sensing and geographic information
        
        
          systems to identify the location of the
        
        
          zones affected by drought. From the
        
        
          beginning of May to the end of October,
        
        
          a multidisciplinary working group with
        
        
          participation of the CSE meets every
        
        
          10 days and relays information in the
        
        
          form of illustrated bulletins to decision
        
        
          makers, ministries and farmers’
        
        
          organisations. Previously sent by post,
        
        
          they are now distributed by e-mail.
        
        
          
            Analysing and monitoring
          
        
        
          The system is hinged on the following
        
        
          components:
        
        
          •analysis of the crop installation phase
        
        
          (millet, groundnut) using a model
        
        
          based on rainfall estimation images
        
        
          calculated using Meteosat data (May
        
        
          to August). This is one of the periods
        
        
          most susceptible to drought. Farmers
        
        
          often wonder whether their first
        
        
          sowings have any chance of success.
        
        
          They are provided with forecasts by
        
        
          zone. If the forecasts are poor, sowing
        
        
          will have to be repeated and we can
        
        
          then suggest alternatives with suitable
        
        
          seed varieties;
        
        
          •analysis of the precipitations evolution
        
        
          (data provided by the
        
        
          
            Agence Nationale
          
        
        
          
            de la Météorologie
          
        
        
          of Senegal) to
        
        
          determine rainfall deficits and
        
        
          surpluses and to assess the impact
        
        
          on crops and grazing land (May to
        
        
          October);
        
        
          • vegetation growth monitoring (May
        
        
          to October), based on the Vegetation
        
        
          Conditions Index (VCI) calculated from
        
        
          SPOT VEGETATION data obtained
        
        
          thanks to a partnership between CSE
        
        
          and VITO (figure next page). This makes
        
        
          it possible to measure and identify the
        
        
          zones in which the vegetation and
        
        
          hence crops display signs of stress;
        
        
          •analysis of the grazing conditions
        
        
          around the main water points in the
        
        
          pastoral zone of Senegal using satellite
        
        
          images and ground measurement
        
        
          operations to determine pasture
        
        
          production and to guide flock and herd
        
        
          movements (August to December).
        
        
          Drought and
        
        
          remote sensing